Looking at PINS lately, I can't ignore how sharply it dropped over the past several months. Last summer it was trading well over $35, even hit $39 at one point, but it’s been a rough slide since then. Now sitting at $20.12, it feels like a lot of the recent selling has already happened. Not saying it can't go lower, but this isn't a spot I'd be unloading shares in a panic.
I lean cautiously bullish here with a target of $23.75. My main reason: the pain might be mostly priced in after losing almost half its value in less than a year. PINS still has a sticky user base, and while monetization hasn't inflected the way bulls want, their new ad partnerships and international growth efforts should at least stabilize things for a bit. If user metrics stop declining and they can keep engagement steady, the market could give them a slight rerating off these lows.
I’m not expecting any fireworks, though. One caveat: if they disappoint on the next earnings call, especially with churn or weak guidance, this could easily retest the recent sub $17 levels. It's still a turnaround story and not a must own in my view. But being this beaten up, risk reward is more reasonable than it's been in a long time.
For a meaningful move, I’ll be watching their next product update cycle and any commentary around ad load or margins. If management shows they’re actually making progress on monetization and not just talking circles, the stock could get a little breathing room. For now, I’m patient and not swinging for the fences.