Alright, so LIN has been running a marathon for the past year and finally remembered it’s supposed to be a blue chip, not a fallen meme. Just look at that price action: it was faceplanting into the 410s in November, then hit the treadmill and somehow showed up at 507.92 earlier this month. Now it’s chilling at 503.87 and everyone’s pretending it’s just business as usual. But I’m calling it there’s juice left for a bullish swing to 585.00 in the next few months.
Here’s why: first, these guys have pricing power that’s basically magic. Their customers literally need LIN’s industrial gases to keep their factories (and hospitals and labs and, I don’t know, probably a couple evil lairs) from falling apart. That’s not optional spending. Every time someone tries to get cute cutting costs, they end up crawling back. Second, management has been on that buyback grind, so every dip is just a feeding frenzy. Supply goes down, price goes up stonks 101, baby.
If there’s a fly in the nitrogen tank, it’s that last fall’s dip was ugly. We’re not THAT far removed from the 400s and some macro faceplant could smack LIN right back there. If rates spike or global manufacturing takes another nap, that’s pain. At least the next earnings call should be a catalyst: if they flex margins again, the market will hoot and holler and chase the breakout. If not, guess I’ll see you all on the next dip.
Target is 585.00. Not going full diamond hands, but I think this boomer stock’s got another leg.