PNC just went on a full Disney rollercoaster this year. Look at that: bottomed out at 158ish last April, then it zoomed to 229 not that long ago. And now we're chilling at 219.86? Wild. The stock's basically done a victory lap since last summer and I don’t think it’s tapped out yet.
So here’s my (barely) serious case for why I’m leaning bullish with a target of 242.00. One, PNC’s management has actually navigated the wild banking environment way better than a bunch of the other big regionals. They didn’t blow up on interest rates or credit if anything, most of the latest earnings call was just them humblebragging about how stable their loan book is and how nobody’s defaulting en masse. Two, they’re still buying back shares like it’s going out of style. That’s legit: fewer shares, more to go around if you’re holding.
Now, clown hat time: risk is obvious banks are one ugly headline away from getting rugpulled. If commercial real estate takes another nosedive, this thing could faceplant back toward the 200s. So yeah, don’t get all in meme brained on this.
The big catalyst I’m watching: next quarter’s net interest margin guide. If rates stay sticky and PNC manages to squeeze out a little more juice, shorts are going to get the salt shake. Just don’t expect it to go parabolic overnight this is still a bank, not a crypto token.