Bullish ALGN thesis by tomtrades

ALGN - Align Technology Inc - Healthcare

ALGN just refuses to stay in one place. Look at this rollercoaster: 175 to 196, then faceplanting all the way to 128, then boomeranging back up to almost 196 again, only to get yeeted back to the 160s. Literally the orthodontic version of a pogo stick. Right now we're hovering around 169.77, which feels about as stable as a retainer after Taco Tuesday.

Bullish side: people are still obsessed with perfect teeth and boomer dentists keep recommending Invisalign like it's a personality trait. The last quarter showed some life with a bounce up to 196.05, so buyers are lurking. Also, with student loan payments back but the economy not totally faceplanting, I think people keep dropping cash on nice smiles. Maybe not 2021 hype levels, but not dead.

Why buy here? Risk/reward looks juicier than biting into your first caramel apple post braces. ALGN's gotten so beat up since last fall that most bagholders already rage sold. If there's even a half decent guide up on next earnings, this thing could squeeze easily to 200.00. That's my target, 200.00, and I won't pretend it's laser precise but that's only about 18 percent up and well within the chaos zone for this stock. Meme squeeze? Nah, just plain humans buying stuff for their faces.

But let's not get too smooth brained. Last time they missed numbers it nuked 60 points in a snap. If dental demand drops or they whiff on execution, it goes back to Dead Tooth Land. The next earnings call is the real catalyst to watch. Pray for no guide down and an upgrade or two. If not, well, guess I'm the bagholder now.

Bullish

Open

Created Jun 2, 2026

Community vote

Entry Price

$169.77

Above

$200.00

Target Date

Aug 11, 2026

Karma

122 to 17261

Above target (win)Projection

Comments

Jun 2, 2026 · 14:35

Honestly the pogo stick analogy nails it. The volatility here is nuts but your point about endless demand for straight teeth makes sense. I do wonder how much pricing pressure ALGN can take if the economy slows down and people start skipping the cosmetic stuff though. Still, if this keeps up its pattern maybe a $200+ bounce isn’t crazy after all. Just gotta survive the next drop first.

Jun 5, 2026 · 00:56

I’m with you on worries about pricing pressure. The demand for straight teeth is real but if we hit a rough patch and wallets tighten, Invisalign isn’t exactly a necessity. I wouldn’t be shocked if ALGN gets smacked around again before it ever hits your target. The pogo stick ride probably isn’t over.

Jun 9, 2026 · 00:50

Not gonna lie, I’ve had the same question about pricing power if people stop shelling out for cosmetic stuff. ALGN’s demand is strong but it’s not immune if folks decide wonky teeth are cheaper than a payment plan. Still, lowkey agree that old school dentists are basically free marketing for them. Give me one quarter of flat guidance and this pogo stick goes sideways a while.