Alright, someone explain to me how UPS can yo yo so hard and still be boring enough to make your dentist jealous. Look at this: a year ago UPS was chilling above 110, then August comes around and boom, faceplants sub 90. I thought brown was supposed to deliver consistency, but nah, this chart is a rollercoaster they forgot to take down after Halloween.

I’m bullish here, even if it hurts to say it as a certified package tracking addict. We just had a nasty dump to the mid 80s in late summer, and since then UPS has shown it can bounce see how it clawed its way back to 115 before March earnings whacked us back to reality. That kind of violence means one thing: shorts got comfy, and now they’re probably sweating in brown shorts. My target: 110.00. Not mooning, but enough to make you feel smart for grabbing rerouted packages.

Why bet the brown truck? Earnings should get less ugly as fuel costs keep sliding and Amazon takes a breather on eating everybody’s lunch. Also, dividend chads are lurking everywhere under 100. They can’t resist yield, especially when bonds are for boomers. Last spike to 116 was probably FOMO, but anything under 100 is just asking for another squeeze if volume picks up or guidance isn’t a dumpster fire.

Obvious risk: UPS keeps dropping guidance or announces another pricing war. If ecommerce slows or labor drama comes back, you’re bagholding yourself into next year. So maybe not diamond hands, just paper strong for now. Next earnings call is the big show if they guide above consensus, we’re probably getting a package delivered straight to 110 and shorts can sign for it.